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RSP vs. SPY: The Six-Percentage-Point Valuation Gap That Could Define the Next Decade

The most important investment decision of the next decade might not be which stocks investors own. It might be how much of each stock they own . That's the fascinating argument emerging from new Bank of America valuation work comparing the traditional capitalization-weighted S&P 500 with its equal-weight counterpart. The conclusion is striking. Bank of America's normalized valuation model puts the traditional S&P 500 at approximately 32 times normalized earnings , a level historically associated with roughly negative 3% average annual returns over the following decade . The S&P 500 Equal Weight Index, meanwhile, trades at approximately 25 times normalized earnings , which the same framework associates with roughly positive 3% annualized returns . That's a six-percentage-point difference in projected annual performance. Compounded over ten years, the implications become enormous. And investors don't need to abandon the S&P 500 to make the switch. They sim...